Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 9795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Yesterday
OO 9795 · BOI → SAN
departs 5:22 PM MT · arrives 6:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.