Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 9798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 9798 · BOI → SEA
departs 4:22 PM MT · arrives 5:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from BOI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.