PD 607 · YYZ → LGA

departs 6:16 PM EDT · arrives 7:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 607 · YYZ → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?