PR 111 · GUM → MNL

took off 6:09 AM ChST · landed 7:26 AM PST (scheduled 5:21 AM ChST → 7:08 AM PST)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MNL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MNL

Weather at each end

GUM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MNL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PR 111 · GUM → MNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to MNL?