Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 7550
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
QF 7550 · JFK → ORD
departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.