Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 582 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

QK 582 · DTW → YUL

departs 1:56 PM ET · arrives 3:55 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

YUL (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 582 · DTW → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?