Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 724 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

QK 724 · IAD → YUL

departs 9:46 AM ET · arrives 11:40 AM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

YUL (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 724 · IAD → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?