Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 810 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

QK 810 · YVR → SEA

departs 9:41 PM PDT · arrives 10:43 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

SEA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 810 · YVR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?