Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

QATAR AIRWAYS · FLIGHT QR 8826 LANDED 1:14 AM CT, ~58 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

QR 8826 · ORD → AUS

took off 11:00 PM CT · landed 1:14 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QR 8826 · ORD → AUS

Odds over time