QX 2131 · OTZ → ANC

departs 6:24 PM AKDT · arrives 8:17 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±6 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OTZ that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ANC at that hour are often late

↓ OTZ usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

Weather at each end

OTZ (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.25 in

ANC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2131 · OTZ → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?