Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2179
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
QX 2179 · RNO → SEA
departs 9:33 AM PT · arrives 11:34 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 14%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RNO is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
9am departures from RNO are usually not late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.