Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
QX 2225 · PDX → YVR
departs 10:39 AM PT · arrives 12:01 PM PDT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 12%
Sat 10/31 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
10am departures from PDX are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
YVR (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.