Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2345
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
QX 2345 · YYC → SEA
departs 11:34 AM MDT · arrives 12:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YYC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YYC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.