Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2347
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
QX 2347 · BOI → SEA
departs 9:59 AM MT · arrives 10:38 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.