Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1605 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

RV 1605 · FLL → YUL

departs 12:42 PM ET · arrives 4:16 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

YUL (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1605 · FLL → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?