RV 1683 · YYZ → SAN

departs 9:16 AM EDT · arrives 11:34 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1683 · YYZ → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?