Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1716 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

RV 1716 · BNA → YYZ

departs 6:36 PM CT · arrives 9:43 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1716 · BNA → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?