Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SINGAPORE AIRLINES · FLIGHT SQ 7401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
SQ 7401 · HNL → SIN
departs 12:11 PM HT · arrives 7:17 PM +08
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SIN more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SIN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SIN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SIN?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
12pm departures from HNL are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SIN
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.40 in
SIN (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.