Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 6018 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

SY 6018 · AFW → CVG

departs 2:31 PM CT · arrives 5:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

AFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 6018 · AFW → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?