tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 233 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

TP 233 · LIS → IAD

departs 5:16 PM WET · arrives 9:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.