UA 101 · IAH → SYD

took off 10:28 PM CT · landed 6:20 AM AEDT (scheduled 9:20 PM CT → 5:47 AM AEDT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SYD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SYD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ 9pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SYD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

SYD (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 101 · IAH → SYD

Odds over time

How late did it get to SYD?