UA 1029 · DEN → YEG

took off 11:42 AM MT · landed 1:56 PM MDT (scheduled 11:22 AM MT → 2:15 PM MDT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YEG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 233 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YEG that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YEG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1029 · DEN → YEG

Odds over time

How late did it get to YEG?