tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1189 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1189 · SFO → SJD

departs 9:14 AM PT · arrives 12:35 PM MST
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SJD?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.