UA 151 · GUM → KIX

took off 7:45 AM ChST · landed 9:58 AM JST (scheduled 7:40 AM ChST → 10:28 AM JST)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at KIX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to KIX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into KIX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

GUM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

KIX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 151 · GUM → KIX

Odds over time

How late did it get to KIX?