Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1522 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 1522 · YEG → DEN

departs 6:01 AM MDT · arrives 9:00 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±6 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 3.4 in of snow forecast at YEG that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

YEG (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.05 in

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1522 · YEG → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?