Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1524
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
UA 1524 · ORF → IAD
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 7:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to IAD?
-
On time or early
92%
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15–30 min late
4%
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30 min–1 hour late
2%
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1–2 hours late
1%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.