UA 1527 · RSW → IAH

departs 6:55 AM ET · arrives 8:42 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ 6am departures from RSW are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1527 · RSW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?