tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1629 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:56 AM ET, ETA 12:36 PM AST)
Today

UA 1629 · EWR → SXM

took off 8:56 AM ET · expected to land 12:36 PM AST (scheduled 8:33 AM ET → 12:53 PM AST)
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at SXM more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SXM?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    99%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.