Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1928 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 1928 · ORD → BOS

departs 1:56 PM CT · arrives 5:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1928 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?