Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 201 LANDED 6:38 PM CHST, ~36 MIN LATE

Wednesday, October 28 Yesterday

UA 201 · HNL → GUM

took off 3:20 PM HT · landed 6:38 PM ChST (scheduled 2:25 PM HT → 6:05 PM ChST)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GUM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.72 in

GUM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 201 · HNL → GUM

Odds over time

How late did it get to GUM?