UA 2022 · SJU → IAD

departs 7:20 AM AT · arrives 11:21 AM ET

Your aircraft is N69810 (B739), coming in as UA 2025 from IAD: landed 9:11 PM AT.

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at IAD that day

↓ 7am departures from SJU are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2022 · SJU → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?