Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2124 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 2124 · MSY → IAH

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:19 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2124 · MSY → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?