Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2337 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 2337 · IAD → AUS

departs 5:33 PM ET · arrives 8:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2337 · IAD → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?