UA 2373 · LAX → KOA

took off 9:49 AM PT · landed 12:23 PM HT (scheduled 9:00 AM PT → 11:42 AM HT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to KOA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at KOA that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2373 · LAX → KOA

Odds over time

How late did it get to KOA?