UA 2425 · IAD → CHS

took off 12:56 PM ET · landed 2:10 PM ET (scheduled 12:46 PM ET → 2:47 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CHS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAD that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2425 · IAD → CHS

Odds over time

How late did it get to CHS?