Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2652 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 2652 · ORD → CLE

departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 8:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2652 · ORD → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?