Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2693 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 2693 · CHS → EWR

departs 3:03 PM ET · arrives 5:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±6 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2693 · CHS → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?