UA 2789 · MCO → DEN

took off 10:02 AM ET · expected to land 11:13 AM MT (scheduled 8:10 AM ET → 10:04 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
97%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2789 · MCO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?