UA 2822 · MAF → IAH

departs 6:59 AM CT · arrives 8:38 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

MAF (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2822 · MAF → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?