Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 33 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 33 · NRT → LAX

departs 1:31 AM JST · arrives 6:35 PM PT

Your aircraft is N27964 (B789), coming in as UA 32 from LAX: landed 3:06 PM JST.

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at NRT

Weather at each end

NRT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 33 · NRT → LAX

Odds over time