UA 383 · HNL → DEN

took off 8:53 PM HT · landed 6:46 AM MT (scheduled 8:26 PM HT → 7:03 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.72 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 383 · HNL → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?