Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 403 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 403 · FLL → ORD

departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 45% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

ORD (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 403 · FLL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?