Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 435 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 435 · EWR → FLL

departs 7:29 PM ET · arrives 10:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 435 · EWR → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?