Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 471
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
UA 471 · SAT → IAD
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 11:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to IAD?
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On time or early
92%
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15–30 min late
5%
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30 min–1 hour late
<1%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.