tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 583 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 583 · SFO → MCO

departs 8:42 AM PT · arrives 5:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±7 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.