Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 6 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

UA 6 · NRT → IAH

departs 1:46 AM JST · arrives 10:51 PM CT

Your aircraft is N81107 (B789), coming in as UA 7 from IAH: landed 2:31 PM JST.

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at NRT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

NRT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 6 · NRT → IAH

Odds over time