tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8161 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

UA 8161 · IAD → MCO

departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 6:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±7 pts +16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.