Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8180 LANDED 10:15 PM AKT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Yesterday

UA 8180 · DEN → ANC

took off 7:17 PM MT · landed 10:15 PM AKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8180 · DEN → ANC

Odds over time