Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 846 LANDED 4:47 AM CT, ~21 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Yesterday

UA 846 · SCL → IAH

took off · landed 4:47 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SCL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SCL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 846 · SCL → IAH

Odds over time