UA 90 · EWR → TLV

departs 12:45 AM ET · arrives 4:45 PM IST

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at TLV more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TLV?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 10pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TLV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 90 · EWR → TLV

Odds over time

How late will it get to TLV?